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important -- but nevertheless i wrote in that book that romney would make a great presidential nominee. i didn't know who the nominee would be. it's not a book about romney. i was proven remarkably impressionable by the 2007 book. the dean of the columbia school of journalism. the new yorkers national political reporter and always the go to guy for national political stories. the profile the in 2005 for the new yorker. it was a very nice piece. he told his liberal democratic leaders, the most influential conservative you ever heard of. okay. [laughter] that's okay, i guess. i don't really speak to the manhattan crowd, the your crowd. how many of you describe to the new yorker? i rest my case. he had read that and remembered that i've written this book about romney. what do you think now? have read the book. no, i haven't. go back and read in and coming back. he did. he called me back in about a week. what do you think of the book? we talked about it. in fact, i made predictions about this campaign which have come to be true, how ban would be mitt romney's greatest vulnerability. how the m
in this race, mitt romney would have to get double john mccain's margin of 18 points among the white working class in this election. that's youth turnout doesn't change among minority's despite the shifts in eligible voters. if this does get realize, let's say minority vote share goes up by couple of points, 26% as was in 2008 to 28% in 2012, and again if the white college graduate and minority support stays about the same, it means mitt romney would have to get north of 40-point margin among white working-class voters to actually win the election, to win the popular vote. so let's take look at where we are now based on a reasonable came out. it's the gold standard for polls. a pew research center. no one else -- no offense to anyone else in the room who has april. they really do it right. it's pretty reliable stuff. they give you a lot of interesting demographic breaks tradition as among likely voters that obama is leading now by eight points. if you look at the average of the national polls as a bit high relative to the average. the average has been running about four-point. if you look at
's margin in 2008. seventy-two among hispanics and it is not that far off. also 22 for romney. what it means is that the idea that obama could get 80% of the minority again it's actually quite plausible based on this and other data. that looks like what it's going to get to. if he doesn't get 80, he will get 7 meters 79. as you can see by the right-hand figures, obama is actually doing better -- which is actually somewhat better than he did in 2000 and one he lost them by 18 points. remember what we said about the outlandishly large margin that mitt romney needs to be with white working-class voters. he is not anywhere close. that is the bottom line. this is true across many polls. you might see a margin of 20 points for mitt romney or a margin of 22 points. nowhere do you see the outside margin that he really needs to win the election. given how he appears to be holding support and then some of college graduate voters so that is where we are now in the national picture. as we know, these elections that we choose to have in the united states are not decided by the popular vote. instead, we h
today. >> the first debate the turn presidential candidates mitt romney and president barack obama is next wednesday, october october 3rd. the university of denver. watch and engage with c-span, including a live debate preview starting at 7:00 p.m. eastern fall by the domestic policy debate at 9:00 p.m. post debate reactions and comments. calls, e-mails, and tweets. follow our live coverage on c-span, c-span radio and on line at c-span.org. >> presidential debates next wednesday live on c-span, c-span radio, and on line at c-span.org. watch ending dates. pass >> on washington journal tomorrow morning and look at the issue of foreign policy in this year's campaign. our guest is nicholas burt, former undersecretary of state for political affairs. political science professor at norfolk state university will focus on the role of virginia in the election and a history of the african-american vote in virginia. we will also be joined by editor in chief of the washington monthly to discuss recent articles in the magazine examining the consumer financial protection bureau. live on c-span ev
it very difficult for romney to put together a coalition that can take the state. colorado has been fairly close so again obama mabey looks like a fairy or four-point lead on average read a lot of demographic change. you can see the minority eligible voters have gone up by three percentage points and working-class voters in 2008 have gone down by three percentage points. again it doesn't appear that romney is able to turn the demographics tie in his favor. he's not doing much better among the white working-class voters according to the polls i've seen. he's made some progress on the outside margin that obama got 14 points in 2008 among the college graduate voters but he's not making nearly enough voters to take the state and if you break it down geographically the denver metro area is about half the vote in the state but that looks very similar in the polling data as it did in 2008. finally, the poster child for demographic change in the united states and how it's been shifted pretty rapidly over time as the great state of nevada. obama is running ahead of though not nearly as far as he di
crunching and processing data. >> host: if any of us were to go into the romney campaign are the obama campaign and we were to look around the headquarters how many people -- is there a lot of young staff? what does it look like? >> guest: chicago dozens of people doing voter data and date and fundraising data on line analytics and every state there are jobs that are data jobs, voter file managers targeting directors. the obama campaign while thousands of people around the country hundreds of them are directly interacting with data every day. >> host: do you think one of the parties, the republicans are the democrats, is more adept at using this technique or they'll sort of at the same level? >> guest: i think at the moment the democrats are ahead to some leapfrogging cycle to cycle with different parties and one of the things that he comes clear and as i look back over where innovations took place it is one of the stories in this book that these campaigns are really persistent innovation. we build the company and at last six months or 18 months. you don't really know if it is going to
for coverage of republican presidential candidate mitt romney. you speaking this point at the clinton global initiative, an annual meeting of global leaders seeking solutions to international problems. mitt romney will be introduced by former president bill clinton and so. it is expected to get started shortly and we will have a live for you on c-span2. until then highlights of the august session of question time in the australian parliament. ♪ >> hello, i'm david with some highlights of the last sitting of the australian parliament. one of the issues that is been talking the labor, here in australia is asylum-seekers. they been coming in record numbers on leaky boats and some sadly have been drowning at sea trying to get here. the government has been under a lot of pressure from the opposition to take a tougher policy to deter votes from making history. finally, the government act down and embraced the opposition's policy. after it was recommended by an expert panel. i asylum-seekers will now be sent to the tiny pacific country of not move and an island. have the claims process. rather th
percent of them, attacking mitt romney. >> unusually early flurry of negative ads. when debunking deceptive ads -- >> the rest of the video is about the visual grammar to do at watching. what we have seen across time is a broadcast network journalism increasingly adopting this framework for presenting news. they are doing it in various forms, putting an ad makes up, creating a fish-wide screens that are to stored images. there has been through no intervention that any one contract, a journalistic awareness that this is a problem, and we are seeing an increase in airport news putting the solution in place. we need to worry about full screen airing of at content. these kinds of stories tend to air, as they are produced packages, and broadcasts nightly news. we are continuing to see, however, answered for practical purposes completely full screen, although there is a network to stammer, so you can actually see that there is a network putting this up. as a way to tell you that the ads have appeared somewhere in the market. and what that does is gives, first, a net advantage to whateve
, and it they wills them a bunch of information. you see if moves or you ask somebody directly. if i told you romney hadn't paid taxes for x number of years make it more or less likely to vote for them. some people fell you would they move. people telling you they would move is a pretty sort of con ject yiewrl thing. i wouldn't cognitively trust anybody that would do under the hypothetical scenario. they may or may not already know. that's part of the problem with the polls they ask people if you knew of a piece of information you may or may not already know. or in focus groups you bring somebody in and so you a dozen people and show them an ad and you ask them again did everybody change their mind. you're purchasing somebody to change their mind and they're being forced to watch an ad they might tune out. using the experimental things that the obama campaign has. they randomly assign mail ron comely to a -- randomly assign tv ads to certain markets and then because they're polling across those markets, they can see who moved, based on message or type of ad or mail this they have the data, you know,
be the point that the obama administration defends the defense of marriage act and president romney will defend the constitutionality, but it doesn't seem that social conservative question has a lot of allotted salience in some unlike a presidential debate. so i think other than health care i see much happening. >> i think it will not happen. and here is why. no major national political figure has attacked affirmative action publicly since 1996 or before. it is kind of remarkable. the republicans during the 90s for a while were seen some political profit in attacking affirmative action given the polls. don't do it anymore and the democrats, john kerry and the early 90s, joe lieberman in the early 90s and others said maybe it is time to stop these racial preferences. the democratic leadership council was inching down that road. but that is all gone. i've spoken to republican politicians, why is that? the answer is we get so if we ever raise their voices against affirmative action it is just not worth the cost, not worth the hassle. part of it ironically was an incredibly bitter campaign in calif
romney and obama, but nobody has spoken at either of the conventions engines the word supreme court. so, you know, i hope this means you're interested in if and the subject to kind of think about it. it's jury, very strange. one thing i will mention is there is an incipient debate going on in the country over the life tenure for the supreme court justices. nothing is good change right away but it's a conversation that we haven't heard for quite a long time if ever. the emerging democracies of the world and many older democracies, to back have constitutional court's have adopted many ideas from the u.s. constitution and the the u.s. supreme court. one thing is life tenure for the court judges. they all of either a term of years or in age limit and so scholars and politicians started to scratch their heads and say the life tenure on the supreme court really most serves the interest of the public. for one thing, if the had a term of years or age limit i think we wouldn't have -- it would certainly lower the temperature of the confirmation battles because you knew you wouldn't be investing
governor romney. . . she is one of several members of congress trying to run statewide, so she's going to try to define herself in a positive way and he is going to define her negatively. >> that debate will be live from wisconsin. we will broadcast from c-span 9 p.m.. tommy thompson and tammy baldwin in their debate. >>> september 11th is a day that changed my life forever and going to go through a power point presentation that is going to outline the accounts of the attack and the things that transpired that day. it gets pretty intense. a lot of things happen very quickly. i'm going to do my best not to ramble on and go too fast rate i would ask you to sit back, clear your mind, put yourself in that room and you'll get a sense of what i was like to be at the top of the food chain, the national command authority as a nation of st. hundred million or attacked by al qaeda terrorists. >>> the first thing in our article is getting medicare costs under control is the number one priority and it's the most untouchable thing. but that is going to cause more trouble than any other problem we'v
Search Results 0 to 11 of about 12

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